I think either Stoner, Rossi, or Lorenzo. Rossi put up a good fight last year and the M1 is much better off this year. He's been doing well and I think it's about time for him to win again. Stoner should be back to form though, unless his problems are further into his mind. Ducati have got to get the other 3 riders into better positions and that may be taking the focus off of Stoner just enough to impact his performance.
Lorenzo should do well here too. He's coming off of that win and looking to set the world on fire. Pedrosa might crack trying to overtake him.
I don't think the race will be canceled. I've only seen that on one site, and it was more of a what if. Rossi already stated his support and said something about a silent protest, which is about as far as they can go. Since, as he also said, they don't want to all be arrested on arrival. Personally? This is racing, not politics. Keep that for after they leave the country so it doesn't impact the championship in a negative way. It's a world sport, and China is part of that world this year.
So, my extremely premature top 3?
I'll change that around 100 times before the race starts though.
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